Predictors of Mortality in Sepsis Patients Resulting from Severe and Critical COVID-19

Patients with severe and critical COVID-19 may exhibit sepsis and mortality resulting from multi-organ failure. Neutrophil-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) values, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE-II) scores were used to assess the risk of mortality in sepsis patients resulting from severe COVID-19 infection. The adequacy of NLR, CRP, SOFA, and APACHE-II scores were evaluated as predictors of mortality in septic COVID-19 patients at Dr. Kariadi Hospital Semarang, Indonesia, between August 2021 and July 2022. The subjects included severe and critical COVID-19 patients who fulfilled the WHO interim guidelines and Sepsis-3 criteria. A total of 211 patients were included, which were divided into survivor (n = 116) and non-survivor (n = 95) groups. NLR values, CRP levels, SOFA, and APACHE-II scores were measured within 24 hours of patient admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors for COVID-19 mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to predict the mortality of severe COVID-19 patients. The results indicated that the APACHE-II score was an independent predictor of mortality in sepsis patients resulting from severe and critical COVID-19. © 2023 by SPC (Sami Publishing Company).

Serial SOFA-score trends in ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients as predictor of 28-day mortality: A prospective cohort study.

Background and Aim: The efficacy of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score as predictor of clinical outcomes among ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients is still controversial. We aimed to assess whether SOFA-score in different time intervals could predict 28-day mortality compared with other well-acknowledged risk factors of COVID-19 mortality. Methods: This observational prospective cohort was conducted on 1057 patients from March 2020 to March 2022 at Masih Daneshvari Hospital, Iran. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analysis were performed to assess the hazards of SOFA-score models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were designed to estimate the predictive values. Results: Mean SOFA-score during first 96 h (HR: 3.82 [CI: 2.75-5.31]), highest SOFA-score (HR: 2.70 [CI: 1.93-3.78]), and initial SOFA-score (HR: 1.65 [CI: 1.30-2.11]) had strongest association with 28-day mortality (p < .0001). In contrast, SOFA scores at 48 and 96 h as well as Δ-SOFA: 48-0 h and Δ-SOFA: 96-0 h did not show significant correlations. Among them, merely mean SOFA-score (HR: 2.28 [CI: 2.21-3.51]; p < .001) remained as independent prognosticator on multivariate regression analysis; though having less odds of predicting value compared with age (HR: 3.81 [CI: 1.98-5.21]), hypertension (HR: 3.11 [CI: 1.26-3.81]), coronary artery disease [CAD] (HR: 2.82 [CI: 1.51-4.8]), and diabetes mellitus (HR: 2.45 [CI: 1.36-2.99]). The area under ROC (AUROC) for mean SOFA-score (0.77) and highest SOFA-score (0.71) were larger than other SOFA intervals. Calculating the first 96 h of SOFA trends, it was obtained that fatality rate was <12.3% if the score dropped, between 28.8% and 46.29% if the score remained unchanged, and >50.45% if the score increased. Conclusion: To predict the 28-day mortality among ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients, mean SOFA upon first 96 h of ICU stay is reliable; while having inadequate accuracy comparing with well-acknowledged COVID-19 mortality predictors (age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, CAD). Notably, increased SOFA levels in the course of first 96 h of ICU-admission, prognosticate at least 50% fatality regardless of initial SOFA score.

Outcomes of patients with acute respiratory failure on veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation requiring additional circulatory support by veno-venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

Objective: Veno-venous (V-V) extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is increasingly used to support patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). In case of additional cardio-circulatory failure, some experienced centers upgrade the V-V ECMO with an additional arterial return cannula (termed V-VA ECMO). Here we analyzed short- and long-term outcome together with potential predictors of mortality. Design: Multicenter, retrospective analysis between January 2008 and September 2021. Setting: Three tertiary care ECMO centers in Germany (Hannover, Bonn) and Switzerland (Zurich). Patients: Seventy-three V-V ECMO patients with ARDS and additional acute cardio-circulatory deterioration required an upgrade to V-VA ECMO were included in this study. Measurements and main results: Fifty-three patients required an upgrade from V-V to V-VA and 20 patients were directly triple cannulated. Median (Interquartile Range) age was 49 (28-57) years and SOFA score was 14 (12-17) at V-VA ECMO upgrade. Vasoactive-inotropic score decreased from 53 (12-123) at V-VA ECMO upgrade to 9 (3-37) after 24 h of V-VA ECMO support. Weaning from V-VA and V-V ECMO was successful in 47 (64%) and 40 (55%) patients, respectively. Duration of ECMO support was 12 (6-22) days and ICU length of stay was 32 (16-46) days. Overall ICU mortality was 48% and hospital mortality 51%. Two additional patients died after hospital discharge while the remaining patients survived up to two years (with six patients being lost to follow-up). The vast majority of patients was free from higher degree persistent organ dysfunction at follow-up. A SOFA score > 14 and higher lactate concentrations at the day of V-VA upgrade were independent predictors of mortality in the multivariate regression analysis. Conclusion: In this analysis, the use of V-VA ECMO in patients with ARDS and concomitant cardiocirculatory failure was associated with a hospital survival of about 50%, and most of these patients survived up to 2 years. A SOFA score > 14 and elevated lactate levels at the day of V-VA upgrade predict unfavorable outcome.

A rare case series of bilateral pneumothorax among adult COVID-19 patients reported at a tertiary care hospital in Mizoram, India

Apart from routine symptoms such as fever, cough, sore throat, myalgia, and dyspnea in severe form of Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) infection, very rarely patients can develop worsening of dyspnea due to bilateral pneumothorax. The present case series is about five adult patients, of age ranging from 39 to 57 years, who developed bilateral pneumothorax during their stay in the hospital. All the cases were reported between May 2021 and October 2021 and were tested positive for COVID-19 by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Out of five adults, three patients were males and were two females. All the patients were assessed with quick sequential organ failure assessment (q SOFA) score on admission and then monitored by SOFA Score. On admission, baseline contrast enhanced computer tomography chest was done for three patients, and chest radiography for one patient all showing features of moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumoniae. One patient with q SOFA Score of 3 on admission required immediate invasive mechanical ventilatory support with ultrasonogram chest immediately performed showing bilateral pneumothorax. Patients were started on remdesivir, dexamethasone, low molecular weight heparin or unfractionated heparin, tocilizumab, and antibiotics. Subsequently, during the course of stay in the hospital, rest of the four patients developed symptoms of pneumothorax and emergency bedside chest ultrasonography showed the typical barcode or stratosphere sign confirming bilateral pneumothorax. All the patients were managed with bilateral chest intercostal water seal drainage intercostal drain tube and invasive mechanical ventilation. Fraction of Inspired Oxygen (FIO2), and other ventilatory settings were adjusted depending on daily arterial blood gas findings. Attempts to wean off from ventilatory support and extubation were successful for two patients, whereas three patients did not survive. In this case series, we will be presenting about those five cases of bilateral pneumothorax in COVID-19 patients reported at a tertiary care hospital in Mizoram, India. [ FROM AUTHOR]

Risk factors associated with bacteremia in COVID-19 patients admitted to intensive care unit: a retrospective multicenter cohort study.

PURPOSE: This multicenter observational study was done to evaluate risk factors related to the development of BSI in patients admitted to ICU for COVID-19. METHODS: All patients with COVID-19 admitted in two COVID-19 dedicated ICUs in two different hospital between 02-2020 and 02-2021 were recruited. RESULT: 537 patients were included of whom 265 (49.3%) experienced at least one BSI. Patients who developed bacteremia had a higher SOFA score [10 (8-12) vs 9 (7-10), p < 0.001], had been intubated more frequently [95.8% vs 75%, p < 0.001] and for a median longer time [16 days (9-25) vs 8 days (5-14), p < 0.001]. Patients with BSI had a median longer ICU stay [18 days (12-31.5) vs 9 days (5-15), p < 0.001] and higher mortality [54% vs 42.3%, p < 0.001] than those who did not develop it. Development of BSI resulted in a higher SOFA score [aHR 1.08 (95% CI 1.03-1.12)] and a higher Charlson score [csAHR 1.15 (95% CI 1.05-1.25)]. CONCLUSION: A high SOFA score and a high Charlson score resulted associated with BSI's development. Conversely, immunosuppressive therapy like steroids and tocilizumab, has no role in increasing the risk of bacteremia.

Independent Predictors of Mortality in COVID-19 Myocardial Injury: The Role of Troponin Levels, GRACE Score, SOFA Score, and TIMI Score.

Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection is associated with troponin elevation, which is associated with increased mortality. However, it is not clear if troponin elevation is independently linked to increased mortality in COVID-19 patients. Although there is considerable literature on risk factors for mortality in COVID-19-associated myocardial injury, the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE), Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores have not been studied in COVID-19-related myocardial injury. This data is important in risk-stratifying COVID-19 myocardial injury patients. Methodology Of the 1,500 COVID-19 patients admitted to our hospitals, 217 patients who had troponin levels measured were included. Key variables were collected manually, and univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis was done to determine the predictors of mortality in COVID-19-associated myocardial injury. The differences in clinical profiles and outcomes of COVID-19 patients with and without troponin elevation were compared. Results Mortality was 26.5% in the normal troponin group and 54.6% in the elevated troponin group. Patients with elevated troponins had increased frequency of hypotension (p = 0.01), oxygen support (p < 0.01), low absolute lymphocyte (p < 0.01), elevated blood urea nitrogen (p < 0.01), higher C-reactive protein (p < 0.01), higher D-dimer (p < 0.01), higher lactic acid (p < 0.01), and higher Quick SOFA (qSOFA), SOFA, TIMI, and GRACE (all scores p < 0.01). On univariate cox regression, troponin elevation (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.18-2.88, p < 0.01), TIMI score >3 (HRv = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.11-2.75, p = 0.01), and GRACE score >140 (HR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.45-3.55, p < 0.01) were highly associated with mortality, whereas cardiovascular disease (HR = 1.40, 95% CI = 0.89-2.21, p = 0.129) and cardiovascular risk factors (HR = 1.15, 95% CI = 0.73-1.81, p = 0.52) were not. After adjusting for age, use of a non-rebreather or high-flow nasal cannula, hemoglobin <8.5 g/dL, suspected or confirmed source of infection, and qSOFA and SOFA scores (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.07-1.29, p < 0.01) were independently associated with mortality, whereas troponin (HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.63-1.85, p = 0.76), TIMI score (HR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.99-1.06, p = 0.12) and GRACE scores (HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.99-1.02, p = 0.10) were not associated with mortality. Conclusions Our study shows that troponin, GRACE score, and TIMI score are not independent predictors of mortality in COVID-19 myocardial injury. This may be because troponin elevation in COVID-19 patients may be related to demand ischemia rather than acute coronary syndrome-related. This was shown by the association of troponin with a higher degree of systemic inflammation and end-organ dysfunction. Therefore, we recommend SOFA scores in risk-stratifying COVID-19 patients with myocardial injury.

Association of Serum Magnesium and Risk of Morbidity and Mortality in ICU-Admitted Patients Based on COVID-19 Infection Classification

Background: Magnesium (Mg) deficiency is a common clinical electrolyte abnormality in critically ill patients, which is related to higher mortality and is easily ignored. Objectives: We aimed to investigate the association of Mg levels with mortality and comorbidity in patients admitted to the inten-sive care unit (ICU) based on COVID-19 infection classification. Methods: A total of 69 patients admitted to the ICU of Shahid Mohammadi Hospital, Bandar Abbas, Iran, from June to December 2021were included in the present study. The serum Mg was measured in these patients. Data from sequential organ failure assess-ment (SOFA), acute physiologic assessment and chronic health evaluation (APACHE), ICU stay length, mechanical ventilation dura-tion, mortality, and comorbidity were determined. Moreover, the COVID-19 infection was detected by PCR. Results: The mean +/- SD age of patients (34.8% male) was 52.56 +/- 16.43 years. Out of 69 patients, 18 (26.1%) died during hospital-ization, and 24 (34.8%) required mechanical ventilation. The prevalence of COVID-19 was 39.1% (27 patients). Our results showed no difference in serum Mg between patients based on mortality and comorbidity status. However, the Mg level of patients with kidney failure was significantly higher than patients without kidney failure (P < 0.05). Based on the COVID-19 classification, there was only a positive correlation between hypomagnesemia and the length of ICU hospitalization in patients without COVID-19 (P < 0.05). Conclusions: Our findings showed no difference in the Mg levels of patients based on mortality status. Patients with kidney failure had higher serum Mg than those without kidney failure. Furthermore, our results showed no difference in the Mg levels of critically ill patients based on COVID-19 infection status.

Efficacy of tocilizumab in treatment of COVID-19 pneumonia: A case-control study from a tertiary care hospital.

Background and Objective: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a viral infectious disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome virus, which has affected billions of people across the globe. The pathogenesis of respiratory inflammation involves elevated concentration of interleukin-6; hence, interventions targeting interleukin-6 receptor, such as tocilizumab (TCZ), have been investigated as potential treatment amidst the dilemma of COVID-19 management. The aim of the study is to analyse the efficacy and safety of TCZ and record the outcome in COVID-19 patients. Materials and Methods: A retrospective case-control study of 80 patients in each group (N = 160) was carried out in a tertiary care hospital in Vadodara, Gujarat. Non-pregnant COVID-19-positive patients above 12 years of age were included in the study and were divided into case (those given TCZ) and control (those given standard treatment) groups after collecting their history and related data. From each group, further data was collected in the form of general and systemic examination, investigations and calculation of inflammatory and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores. Results: Overall mortality was less in the case group compared to the control group. Patients with moderate to severe disease, age <55 years, patients having no comorbidity and patients with higher oxygen demand had lower deaths when given TCZ. Inflammatory score <3 and SOFA score <6 were associated with reduced mortality in the case group. Additionally, the study found significant results by simultaneously analysing two parameters in combination, which has not been done in any other study to the best of our knowledge. Conclusions: Adjuvant TCZ therapy had overall mortality benefit compared to standard treatment, with specific benefit observed in those with increasing disease severity, young to middle-age group, absence of comorbidity, higher oxygen requirements and lower inflammatory and SOFA scores.

Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score and Mortality Prediction in Patients With Severe Respiratory Distress Secondary to COVID-19.

Background This study looks at the validity of the sequential organ failure assessment score (SOFA) in detecting mortality in patients with Coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. Also, it is looking to determine the optimal SOFA score that will discriminate between mortality and survival. Methods It is a retrospective chart review of the patients admitted to Henry Ford Hospital from March 2020 to December 2020 with COVID-19 pneumonia who developed severe respiratory distress. We collected the following information; patient demographics (age, sex, body mass index), co-morbidities (history of diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary artery disease, or cancer), SOFA scores (the ratio of arterial oxygen tension (PaO2) to the fraction of inspired oxygen, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, mean arterial pressure, serum creatinine level, bilirubin level, and platelet count) as well as inpatient mortality. Results There were 320 patients; out of these, 111 were intubated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for SOFA at the moment of inclusion in the study had an area under the curve of 0.883. The optimal point for discrimination between mortality and survival is SOFA of 5. A SOFA score of less than two is associated with 100% survival, while a score of more than 11 is associated with 100% mortality. Conclusions SOFA score in COVID-19 patients with severe respiratory distress strongly correlates with the initial SOFA score. It is a valuable tool for predicting mortality in COVID-19 patients.

Usefulness of convalescent plasma transfusion for the treatment of severely ill COVID-19 patients in Pakistan.

BACKGROUND: Convalescent plasma(CP) was utilized as potential therapy during COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan. The study aimed at appraisal of CP transfusion safety and usefulness in COVID pneumonia. METHODS: Single arm, MEURI study design of non-randomized open label trial was conducted in five centers. Patients werecategorized as moderately severe, severe, and critical. The primary endpoint was a) improvement in clinical status and change in category of disease severity; secondary endpoint was b) CP ability to halt disease progression to invasive ventilation. CP transfused to hospitalized patients. Statistical tests including median (interquartile ranges), Mann-Whitney U test, Fisher's exact test using SPSS ver. 23, ANOVA and Chi-square test were applied for the analysis of results parameters before and after CP treatment. SOFA score was applied for multiorgan failure in severe and critical cases. RESULTS: A total of 50 adult patients; median age 58.5 years (range: 29-92 years) received CP with infusion titers; median 1:320 U/mL (Interquartile range 1:80-1:320) between April 4 to May 5, 2020. The median time from onset of symptoms to enrollment in trial was 3 to 7 days with shortness of breath and lung infiltration as severity criterion. In 35 (70%) recipients, oxygen saturation improved from 80 to 95% within 72h, with resolution of lung infiltrates. Primary endpoint was achieved in 44 (88%) recipients whereas secondary endpoint was achieved in 42 (84%). No patient experienced severe adverse events. A high SOFA score (> 7) correlated with deaths in severe and critical patients. Eight (16%) patients expired due to comorbidities; cardiac arrest in 2 (4%), multiorgan failure secondary to cytokine storm in 5 (10%) and ventilator associated complications in 1 (2%). CONCLUSION: CP transfusion can be used as a safe and useful treatment in moderately severe and severe patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial registration number is NCT04352751  ( https://www.irct.ir/search/result?query=IRCT20200414047072N1 ). Trial Registration date is 28th April 2020.

Factors associated with failure of high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy in patients with severe COVID-19: a retrospective case series.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy failure in patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: We retrospectively examined clinical and laboratory data upon admission, treatments, and outcomes of patients with severe COVID-19. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were also calculated. RESULTS: Of 54 patients with severe COVID-19, HFNC therapy was successful in 28 (51.9%) and unsuccessful in 26 (48.1%). HFNC therapy failure was more common in patients aged ≥60 years and in men. Compared with patients with successful HFNC therapy, patients with HFNC therapy failure had higher percentages of fatigue, anorexia, and cardiovascular disease; a longer time from symptom onset to diagnosis; higher SOFA scores; a higher body temperature, respiratory rate, and heart rate; more complications, including acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock, myocardial damage, and acute kidney injury; a higher C-reactive protein concentration, neutrophil count, and prothrombin time; and a lower arterial partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen (PaO2/FiO2). However, male sex, a low PaO2/FiO2, and a high SOFA score were the only independent factors significantly associated with HFNC therapy failure. CONCLUSIONS: Male sex, a low PaO2/FiO2, and a high SOFA score were independently associated with HFNC therapy failure in patients with severe COVID-19.

A Randomized, Single-Blind, Group Sequential, Active-Controlled Study to Evaluate the Clinical Efficacy and Safety of α-Lipoic Acid for Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).

OBJECT: To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of α-Lipoic acid (ALA) for critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: A randomized, single-blind, group sequential, active-controlled trial was performed at JinYinTan Hospital, Wuhan, China. Between February 2020 and March 2020, 17 patients with critically ill COVID-19 were enrolled in our study. Eligible patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either ALA (1200 mg/d, intravenous infusion) once daily plus standard care or standard care plus equal volume saline infusion (placebo) for 7 days. All patients were monitored within the 7 days therapy and followed up to day 30 after therapy. The primary outcome of this study was the Sequential Organ Failure Estimate (SOFA) score, and the secondary outcome was the all-cause mortality within 30 days. RESULT: Nine patients were randomized to placebo group and 8 patients were randomized to ALA group. SOFA score was similar at baseline, increased from 4.3 to 6.0 in the placebo group and increased from 3.8 to 4.0 in the ALA group (P = 0.36) after 7 days. The 30-day all-cause mortality tended to be lower in the ALA group (3/8, 37.5%) compared to that in the placebo group (7/9, 77.8%, P = 0.09). CONCLUSION: In our study, ALA use is associated with lower SOFA score increase and lower 30-day all-cause mortality as compared with the placebo group. Although the mortality rate was two-folds higher in placebo group than in ALA group, only borderline statistical difference was evidenced due to the limited patient number. Future studies with larger patient cohort are warranted to validate the role of ALA in critically ill patients with COVID-19. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=49534.

Effect of Intubation Timing on the Outcome of Patients With Severe Respiratory Distress Secondary to COVID-19 Pneumonia.

Background The optimal timing of intubation for critically ill patients with severe respiratory illness remains controversial among healthcare providers. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has raised even more questions about when to implement this life-saving therapy. While one group of providers prefers early intubation for patients with respiratory distress because these patients may deteriorate rapidly without it, other providers believe that intubation should be delayed or avoided because of its associated risks including worse outcomes. Research question Our objective was to assess whether the timing of intubation in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia was associated with differences in mortality or other outcomes. Study design and methods This was a single-center retrospective observational cohort study. We analyzed outcomes of patients who were intubated secondary to COVID-19 pneumonia between March 13, 2020, and December 12, 2020, at Henry Ford Hospital in Detroit, Michigan. Patients were categorized into two groups: early intubated (intubated within 24 hours of the onset of severe respiratory distress) and late intubated (intubated after 24 hours of the onset of severe respiratory distress). Demographics, comorbidities, respiratory rate oxygenation (ROX) index, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, and treatment received were compared between groups. The primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes were ventilation time, intensive care unit stay, hospital length of stay, and discharge disposition. Post hoc and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed. Results A total of 110 patients were included: 55 early intubated and 55 late intubated. We did not observe a significant difference in overall mortality between the early intubated (43%) and the late intubated groups (53%) (p = 0.34). There was no statistically significant difference in patients' baseline characteristics including SOFA scores (the early intubation group had a mean score of 7.5 compared to 6.7 in the late intubation group). Based on the ROX index, the early intubation group had significantly more patients with a reduced risk of intubation (45%) than the late group (27%) (p = 0.029). The early intubation group was treated with a high-flow nasal cannula at a significantly lower rate (47%) than the late intubation group (83%) (p < 0.001). Significant differences in patient baseline characteristics, treatment received, and other outcomes were not observed. Post hoc analysis adjusting for SOFA score between 0 and 9 revealed significantly higher mortality in the late intubation group (49%) than in the early intubation group (26%) (p = 0.03). Patients in the 0 to 9 SOFA group who were intubated later had 2.7 times the odds of dying during hospital admission compared to patients who were intubated early (CI, 1.09-6.67). Interpretation The timing of intubation for patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia was not significantly associated with overall mortality or other patient outcomes. However, within the subgroup of patients with SOFA scores of 9 or lower at the time of intubation, patients intubated after 24 hours of the onset of respiratory distress had a higher risk of death than those who were intubated within 24 hours of respiratory distress. Thus, patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who are not at a high level of organ dysfunction may benefit from early mechanical ventilation.

SOFA Score as a Reliable Tool to Detect High Risk for Venous Thrombosis in Patients With Critical Stage SARS-CoV-2.

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome from coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Different anticoagulation protocols have been applied in several studies in the absence of clear evidence. A reliable deep venous thrombosis (DVT) indicator in critical patients with SARS-CoV-2 could guide the anticoagulation treatment; however, it has not yet been identified, and clinical applicability of the most common markers is debatable. The aim of our study was to determine the actual incidence of DVT in critically ill SARS-CoV-2 patients and to find a reliable tool to identify patients who might benefit from therapeutic-intensity anticoagulation. Methods: From March 1, 2020 to May 31, 2020, all patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for SARS-CoV-2 at Ospedale Regionale di Locarno, Locarno, Switzerland, were prospectively enrolled and screened daily with ultrasound for DVT. Following international consensus, a higher-intensity thromboprophylaxis was administered to all patients who were not at increased risk for bleeding. Sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were calculated and time-to-DVT event in a COX proportional-hazard regression model was performed. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine sensitivity and specificity and the Youden's Index to establish the best threshold. Results: A total of 96 patients were enrolled. Deep venous thrombosis was detected in 37% of patients. Sepsis-induced coagulopathy and SOFA scores were both correlated to DVT. A SIC score of 1 vs. ≥2 showed a close association with DVT, with sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of 90.0, 48.1, and 49.1, and 89.7%, respectively. Most significantly though, a SOFA score of 1 or 2 points was shown to be the most accurate value in predicting the absence of DVT, indicating no need for therapeutic-intensity anticoagulation. Its sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 87.9, 100, and 100, and 93.7%, respectively. The D-dimer test showed lower sensitivity and specificity whereas platelet count and aPTT were not found to be correlated to DVT. Conclusions: Patients with SOFA scores of 1 or 2 are at low risk of developing DVT and do not require therapeutic-intensity anticoagulation. Conversely, patients with scores ≥3 are at high risk of developing DVT.

A Prospective Study of Specialized Coagulation Parameters in Admitted COVID-19 Patients and Their Correlation With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Outcome.

Background Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a frequent complication of COVID-19 and is associated with a component of thrombo-inflammation and cytokine storm. COVID-19 also affects the hemostatic system causing multiple coagulation abnormalities that is a cause of concern and needs to be addressed.  Objective We aimed to assess coagulation parameters of COVID-19 patients and identify whether they could be used as potential prognostic biomarkers to predict ARDS and immediate outcomes. Methods This was a prospective study done on 68 patients at four serial time points. Patients between 18-85 years admitted to the hospital as in-patients and ICU with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 by RT-PCR were included. Exclusion criteria included pregnancy, patients below and above the mentioned age, previously known coagulopathy, systemic anticoagulants or anti-platelet therapy or vitamin K antagonists and moribund patients. Patients were divided into three categories based on SOFA score at admission, presence (group 1) or absence (group 2) of ARDS and outcome (dead or alive). Routine and specialized coagulation tests were performed on patients' platelet-poor plasma at the time of study inclusion (day 0), days 3, 7 and at discharge on STAR Max®3 (Diagnostica Stago France) automated coagulation analyzer and included prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR) (STA® -NeoPTimal), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) (STA® -Cephascreen), fibrinogen (STA® Liquid Fib), D-dimer (STA® LiatestD- Dimer), Protein C (STA Stachrom® Protein C), Protein S (STA® Latest Free Protein S) and Antithrombin (STA® Chrom ATIII). ELISA did testing for tissue plasminogen activator (Asserachrom® tPA) as per the manufacturer's protocol. Results Sixty-eight patients, including 43 (63%) males and 25 (37%) females, with a median age of 48 years (IQR 20-85), were recruited in this study. The incidence of ARDS was 34%, with a mortality of 13%. History of contact with a COVID-19 case was present in 71% (48/68) of the patients. Fever was the most common presenting symptom in 84% (57/68) of the patients. The most common comorbidities were hypertension and diabetes mellitus (DM) in 22% (15/68) and 21% (14/68) of the patients. DM (p=0.07) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (p=0.03) were significantly associated with ARDS. DM (p=0.02), hypertension (p=0.01), and COPD (p=0.02) were also significantly associated with mortality. APTT was markedly prolonged among non-survivors at day 0 (D0) and D7 (p=0.03, p=0.02). D-Dimer was elevated in 38/68 (56%) patients at D0. D-Dimer levels were significantly higher in non-survivors (p<0.001), in ARDS patients (p=0.001) and patients with higher SOFA scores (p=0.001). ROC curve showed that D-dimer cut-off > 2.13 (AUC of 0.86) and >0.85 (AUC of 0.74) predicts mortality and ARDS, respectively. Among the natural anticoagulants, protein C was significantly associated with a high SOFA score at D0 and D3 (p=0.04).  Conclusion Diabetes mellitus, hypertension and COPD were associated with poor outcomes. D-dimer levels must be monitored in COVID patients due to their association with ARDS and mortality. We observed that the levels of natural anticoagulants fell during the illness, making them prone to coagulopathies; however, none were seen in this study. Elevated tPA levels were also found in our patients; fibrinolytic therapy may benefit COVID-19 patients suffering from ARDS.

Cytokine Storm May Not Be the Chief Culprit for the Deterioration of COVID-19.

COVID-19 is spreading and ravaging all over the world, and the number of deaths is increasing day by day without downward trend. However, there is limited knowledge of pathogenesis on the deterioration of COVID-19 at present. In this study we aim to determine whether cytokine storm is really the chief culprit for the deterioration of COVID-19. The confirmed COVID-19 patients were divided into moderate group (n = 89), severe group (n = 37), and critical group (n = 41). Demographic data were collected and recorded on admission to ICU. Clinical data were obtained when moderate, severe, or critical COVID-19 was diagnosed, and then compared between groups. The proportion of enrolled COVID-19 patients was slightly higher among males (52.5%) than females (47.5%), with an average age of 64.87 years. The number of patients without comorbidities exceed one third (36.1%), and patients with 1, 2, 3, 4 kinds of comorbidities accounted for 23.0%, 23.0%, 13.1%, and 4.9%, respectively. IL-6, IL-10, TNF, and IFN-γ, including oxygenation index, sequential organ failure assessment score, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, lymphocyte percentage, platelet, C-reaction protein, lactate dehydrogenase, creatine kinase isoenzyme, albumin, D-Dimer, and fibrinogen showed significant difference between groups. Some, but not all, cytokines and chemokines were involved in the deterioration of COVID-19, and thus cytokine storm maybe just the tip of the iceberg and should be used with caution to explain pathogenesis on the deterioration of COVID-19, which might be complex and related to inflammation, immunity, blood coagulation, and multiple organ functions. Future studies should focus on identification of specific signaling pathways and mechanisms after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections (IRB number: IRB-AF/SC-04/01.0).

Long-term Survival of Critically Ill Patients Stratified According to Pandemic Triage Categories: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented demand for ICUs, with the need to triage admissions along with the development of ICU triage criteria. However, how these criteria relate to outcomes in patients already admitted to the ICU is unknown, as is the incremental ICU capacity that triage of these patients might create given existing admission practices. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the short- and long-term survival of low- vs high-priority patients for ICU admission according to current pandemic triage criteria? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This study analyzed prospectively collected registry data (2007-2018) in 23 ICUs in Victoria, Australia, with probabilistic linkage with death registries. After excluding elective surgery, admissions were stratified according to existing ICU triage protocol prioritization as low (age ≥ 85 years, or severe chronic illness, or Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA] score = 0 or ≥ 12), medium (SOFA score = 8-11) or high (SOFA score = 1-7) priority. The primary outcome was long-term survival. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality, ICU length of stay (LOS) and bed-day usage. RESULTS: This study examined 126,687 ICU admissions. After 5 years of follow-up, 1,093 of 3,296 (33%; 95% CI, 32-34) of "low-priority" patients aged ≥ 85 years or with severe chronic illness and 86 of 332 (26%; 95% CI, 24-28) with a SOFA score ≥ 12 were still alive. Sixty-three of 290 (22%; 95% CI, 17-27) of patients in these groups followed up for 10 years were still alive. Together, low-priority patients accounted for 27% of all ICU bed-days and had lower in-hospital mortality (22%) than the high-priority patients (28%). Among nonsurvivors, low-priority admissions had shorter ICU LOS than medium- or high-priority admissions. INTERPRETATION: Current SOFA score or age or severe comorbidity-based ICU pandemic triage protocols exclude patients with a close to 80% hospital survival, a > 30% five-year survival, and 27% of ICU bed-day use. These findings imply the need for stronger evidence-based ICU triage protocols.

The Appropriateness of Invasive Ventilation in COVID-19 Positive Cancer Patients: Proposal of a New Prognostic Score.

Over the last months, as oncology specialists, we have frequently been contacted for estimating prognosis for cancer patients affected by COVID-19 infection. Until now, there have been no clear markers to guide decision making regarding the appropriateness of invasive ventilation in cancer patients affected by COVID-19 infection. We developed a practical tool encompassing a prognostic score, "The Milano Policlinico ONCOVID-ICU score." The score is composed of three groups of variables: patient's characteristics such as sex, age, BMI, and comorbidities; oncological variables (treatment intent, life expectancy, on or off-treatment status); and clinical parameters in association with laboratory values (the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and D-dimer). The SOFA score includes six different clinical parameters and during the first few days of ICU admissions has an important prognostic role. The oncological history should never represent, per se, a contraindication to intensive care and must be considered together with other variables, such as laboratory values, clinical parameters, and patient characteristics, in order to make the hardest but best possible choice. To our knowledge, "The Milano Policlinico ONCOVID-ICU score" is the first prognostic score proposed in this setting of patients and requires further validation. This tool may be useful to assess the prognosis of cancer patients in critical conditions.

Macrophage Migration Inhibitory Factor (MIF) Plasma Concentration in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Observational Study.

Mortality in critically ill coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients is high and pharmacological treatment strategies remain limited. Early-stage predictive biomarkers are needed to identify patients with a high risk of severe clinical courses and to stratify treatment strategies. Macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) was previously described as a potential predictor for the outcome of critically ill patients and for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), a hallmark of severe COVID-19 disease. This prospective observational study evaluates the predictive potential of MIF for the clinical outcome after severe COVID-19 infection. Plasma MIF concentrations were measured in 36 mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients over three days after intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Increased compared to decreased MIF was significantly associated with aggravated organ function and a significantly lower 28-day survival (sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score; 8.2 ± 4.5 to 14.3 ± 3, p = 0.009 vs. 8.9 ± 1.9 to 12 ± 2, p = 0.296; survival: 56% vs. 93%; p = 0.003). Arterial hypertension was the predominant comorbidity in 85% of patients with increasing MIF concentrations (vs. decreasing MIF: 39%; p = 0.015). Without reaching significance, more patients with decreasing MIF were able to improve their ARDS status (p = 0.142). The identified association between an early MIF response, aggravation of organ function and 28-day survival may open future perspectives for biomarker-based diagnostic approaches for ICU management of COVID-19 patients.